Stormy Arabian Sea Expected, Good Monsoon Rains In June

The CFS model is now predicting above average rainfall in Gujarat, Rajasthan, western Madhya Pradesh and parts of Maharashtra in June 2017. The Arabian Sea is expected to very stormy with excess rainfall of upto 300-400 mm. That is 300-400 mm of rainfall above the June average.

See the precipitation forecast map below. The blue denote heavier rainfall. The green and blue colors show above average rainfall. The orange and brown colors represent below normal, deficient rainfall.

We can thus see that monsoon is going to become very active in June. The heavy rainfall can be only because of low pressure systems/depression/tropical cyclone.

From the map we can also infer that Kerala, coastal Karnataka, Gujarat and parts of Rajasthan, Maharashtra, western Madhya Pradesh, and some northeastern states will see a wetter than normal June in 2017.

The south west monsoon will be very active during the entire month of June bringing good rains in many places. But it will turn weak in July.